Memo From the Chief Economist

Memo From the Chief Economist

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Memo From the Chief Economist
Memo From the Chief Economist
You’re Fired! The REAL Reason Behind the Job Revisions and Why the BLS Commissioner Should NOT be Blamed

You’re Fired! The REAL Reason Behind the Job Revisions and Why the BLS Commissioner Should NOT be Blamed

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David Rosenberg
Aug 05, 2025
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Memo From the Chief Economist
Memo From the Chief Economist
You’re Fired! The REAL Reason Behind the Job Revisions and Why the BLS Commissioner Should NOT be Blamed
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“For the FOURTH month in a row, jobs numbers have beat market expectations with nearly 150,000 good jobs created in June. American-born workers have accounted for ALL of the job gains since President Trump took office and wages continue to rise.”

— White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, July 3rd, 2025

“In my opinion, today’s Jobs Numbers were RIGGED in order to make the Republicans, and ME, look bad.”

— President Donald Trump, August 1st, 2025

What a difference a month makes. Strong leaders share the credit and accept the blame. Weak leaders take all the credit and lay the blame on others.

Talk about a classic case of shooting the messenger. If you don’t trust the nonfarm payroll data, then just go to the companion Household Survey, which showed a huge -260k jobs decline in July and is down -402k since the end of the first quarter (in the aftermath of all the tariff-related uncertainty, if you are seeking out a culprit). And with no revisions to blame, either. What a sham. We are on a slippery slope, folks.

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